Ordinance No. 83-05 CITY OF TIGARD, OREGON
ORDINANCE NO. 83-QL
AN ORDINANCE ADOPTING THE HOUSING ELEMENT OF THE TIGARD COMPREHENSIVE PLAN;
AND DECLARING AN EMERGENCY.
WHEREAS, the City of Tigard finds it necessary to revise its Comprehensive
Plan periodically to improve the operation and implementation of that Plan;
and
WHEREAS, the Tigard Planning Commission has recommended the adoption of a
citywide Comprehensive Plan Element on Housing, after holding a public hearing
regarding the same; and
WHEREAS, the proposed Housing Element has been reviewed by the Committee for
Citizen Involvement of the City of Tigard; and
WHEREAS, the proposed Element has been the subject of comments from the City's
Neighborhood Planning Organizations (NPO'S) and individual citizens; and
WHEREAS, after considering the comments of the Planning Commission, the
Committee for Citizen Involvement, Neighborhood Planning Organizations and
individual citizens, the Council believes that the Housing Element of the
( Tigard Comprehensive Plan should be adopted in the form set forth in Exhibit
t°A"attached hereto and, by this reference, made a part hereof:
NOW, THEREFORE,
THE CITY OF TIGARD ORDAINS AS FOLLOWS:
Section 1: The HousingElement of the Tigard Comprehensive Plan, as set forth
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in Exhibit "A", consisting of- a title page and forty-nine pages of text be,
and the same hereby is, adopted as a part of the citywide Comprehensive Plan
of the City of Tigard.
Section. 2: In revising and compiling the Tigard Comprehensive Plan, the
Planning Director is authorized and directed to edit the Plan as necessary to
provide a readable text; however, the Director shall not edit or change any
policy or implementation strategy adopted in Exhibit "A" and shall present all
portions of the edited Comprehensive Plan to the City Council for its approval.
section 3: In order to provide a uniform date for the effectiveness of this
series of Comprehensive Plan revisions to be adopted by the City Council in
1983, an emergency is declared and this portion of the Comprehensive Plan
shall become effective on February 1, 1983
PASSED: By_LIY h&, vote of all Council members present, after being
rem by num eb r and titleonly hi ^day%f , 1983.
�ePw Recorder City of Tigard
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APPROVED: By the Mayor, this a -�'day of1983.
�h�a� r,
Mayor - City of Tigard
ORDINANCE N0. 83 OS
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H IN
uomp ehensive P Ica n Report
DRAFT
For Discussi'm Only
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CIMN TIGA RD
WASHINGTON COUNTY,OREGON
ADOPTED BY CITY COUNCIL
JANUARY 26, 1983
ORDINANCE NO 83-05
HOUSING j
TIGARD COMPREHENSIVE PLAN REPORT
DEPARTMENT OF PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT
APRIL 1982
REVISED DECEMBER 1982
REVISED JANUARY 1983
City Council Planning Commission
Wilbur Bishop - Mayor Frank Tepedino - President
John Cook Cliff Speaker
Tom Brian Donald Moen
Nancie Stimler, Former Member Richard Helmer, Former Member
Ken Scheckla Mark Christen
Ima Scott Bonnie Owens
Deane Leverett
Phil Edin
Roy Bonn
Ron Jordan
Project Staff
Bob Jean - City Administrator
William A. Monahan - Planning Director
Jeremy Coursolle - Associate Planner
Liz Newton - Associate Planner —
Hamid Pishvaa Planner
Funk Currie - Public Works Director
Adrianne Brockman City Attorney's Office
Patt Martin Word Processing
Loreen Wilson - Office Manager
ADOPTED BY TIGARD CITY COUNCIL JANUARY 26, 1983
ORDINANCE 83-05
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Introduction 1
Findings, Policies and Implementation Strategies 2
Chapter I: Housing Supply
Chapter II: Housing Demand 17
Chapter LII: Cost of Housing 25
Chapter IV: Population Trends 37
Chapter V: Buildable Residential Land Inventory 41
�^ I. INTRODUCTION
The initial framework planning for Tigard's housing needs was established in
1977 with Tigard's Housing Plan. Since that initial report, there has been a
need to update that data in order to provide a comprehensive overview of
Tigard's housing supply and need. The housing study you are about to read had
its general direction and intent formed on a statewide level by the Land
Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) Goal #10: Housing. More
importantly, however, this housing study represents the community of 'Tigard
and its housing needs as the community grows towards the year 2000.
This housing study is only part of the comprehensive planning process for the
City of Tigard. It describes and analyses all of the housing characteristics
in Tigard concerning actual and projected housing conditions.
Following the introduction, this study reviews the supply demand, housing
costs and projected need for housing in the Tigard planning area and its
relationship to the overall regional housing need of Portland metropolitan
area. In addition, this report suggests necessary policies and implementation
strategies that will be used to implement the City's housing plan.
Before proceeding to the data analysis of this study, it is useful to clarify
�G the basic housing issue that confronts Tigard. In the 1960's Tigard was
considered a "rural" or "small town" community. Hcwever, between 1970 and
1980 Tigard grew 2 1/2 times to become the fourteenth largest city in Oregon.
,.' During the 1970's the livability and economic stability of Tigard was
maintained, and it is the intent of this Housing Element and the entire
Comprehensive Plan to continue to maintain this livability throughout the
Tigard community.
Given its proximity to Portland it is assumed that Tigard will continue to
grow during the planning period (1980 - 2000). It is also assumed that the
w actual growth rate during the planning period may fluctuate given ma--3.et
conditions , housing supply and demand, and availability of financing.
Al levels of government with some authority in the Tigard area identify
housing as a necessary element which must be addressed in effective ways. At
the state level, the housing goal nearly formalizes goals and objectives
already recognized in the 1971 Tigard Community Plan and NPO (Neighborhood
Planning;Organization) plans. The various residential densities "intend to
provide a variety of living environments while providing for the housing needs
of different family size and incomes."
Regardless of any state or regional planning goals, Tigard needs to establish
a local planning effort which adequately meets the diverse needs of all
households wishing to reside in Tigard.
Upper income and upper-middle income households generally have little
difficulty finding the kind of dwelling !hey can afford, but middle income and
dower income households face a serious problem in locating the type of
dwelling which they need and can afford.
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ow to provide a sufficient supply of diverse housing at
The question of h Pof is
reasonable prices, while protecting the basic characterproblem of their ownlat� the
also relevant to residents who may have no housing p for exam t �l
moment. In the absence of appropriate plans for housing, P 1
middle-aged couples today may find it difficult to continue to live in the
community when they become senior citizens, because their housing needs and t
financial capabilities are very different. Families with teenagers should j
planning, their children may not be able to
also realize that, without proper {;
e out making their own way in the world.
live in the community when they ar
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FINDINGS, POLICIES, AND IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
This section reviews the problems related to housing and the recommended
policies which suggest to the community ways to alleviate these housing
problems.
6.1 HOUSING NEEDS
FINDINGS
d has
en
as
.6% single
o The resdetached dwellings,n 42.7% r attached units, and
dd 5 1.7% manufacturedfamily ed
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homes.
o The Metropolitan Housing Rule adopted by the Land Conservationand
Development Commission states that Tigard must provide for 50 percent
single family and at least 50 percent single family attached or multiple
' family units with a minimum of 10 units to the net acre. The Metro
Housing Rule applies to only vacant buildable lau:, within Tigard's Urban
Planning Area, and does not affect established and developed residential
areas.
ral years
o The tepid increase in housing and land cost over the last ev meet their
has excluded many households from obtaining suitable housing
needs.
o Many of the households that do not desire or are unable to afford
ed dwellings rely on the rental market or
le family detach g
conventional sing Y ds.
u nee
o s
in g
attached dwellingsto meet .their h. .
o The rapidly changing City to periodically
housing market will require the
to reevaluate its housing and land use objectives to provide for a variety
of housing types and densities to meet the needs of fut!ire residents.
o Approximately 19 percent of the households in Tigard are inhabitated by
senior citizens.
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t f � hlic assisted or subsidized housing serves to
® c Undue conce..ntratiora o_ pubtic
isolate the _secili:ents cf such housing from the mai8st'rea«< of the
community, its full range of basic services' and the diversity of its
neighborhoods. For this reason, the City should take steps to disperse
l neighborhoods and throughout
such housing within individuathe City
itself.
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POLICIES }
6.1.1 THE CITY SHALL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR A DIVERSITY Of HOUSING
DENSITIES AND RESIDENTIAL TYPES AT VARIOUS PRICE AND RENT LEVELS.
6.1.2 SUBSIDIZED HOUSING UNITS SHALL CONFORM TO ALL APPLICABLE DEVELOPMENT
STANDARDS. TO PREVENT THE GEOGRAPHIC CONCENTRATION OF PUBLIC HOUSING
AND INSURE A BALANCE IN THE DISTRIBUTION OF SUCH HOUSING, THE MINIMUM
DISTANCE BETWEEN SUBSIDIZED HOUSING UNITS LOCATED WITHIN ANY SINGLE
FAMILY ZONING DISTRICT SHALL BE FIVE TIMES THE MINIMUM LOT WIDTH ON
ANY STREET IN THE DEVELOPMENT. FOR PURPOSES OF THIS POLICY, THE TERM
"SUBSIDIZED HOUSING" SHALL MEAN ANY HOUSING DEVELOPED OR CONSTRUCTED
BY THE WASHINGTON COUNTY HOUSING AUTHORITY WITH FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE
OF THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT.
IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
I. The City shall_ monitor the rate of development through an annual "land
survey," which will function as ac. JD—to—date inventory of land
available for future residential needs.
2. The Tigard Community Development Code shall list a broad range of
( development districts which allows for a variety of housing types, and
complies with the adopted Metropolitan Housing Rule (50-50 mixture of
single family and attached or multiple family at 10 units to the net
acre on buildable vacant land).
3. The Tigard Community Development Code, through the Planned Development
process, shall establish a procedure to allow
P , p properties exhibiting.
physical constraint characteristics, e.g. , steep slopes or
floodplains, to develop with c::�nsity transfers allowable on the site.
No more than 256 of the dwellings may be transferred.
In addition, the City shall encourage developers to use the planned
development process in all developing areas.
4. The Tigard Community Development Code sh411 al1L;.; for manufactured
homes in manufactured home paries and subdivisions, within specified
development districts.
5. - The City shall encourage housing development to occur, to the greatest
extent possible, on designated buildable lands in areas where public
facilities and services can be readily extended to those lands.
6. The City shall provide for opportunities for proposals to develop
specialized housing for the area's senior citizens and handicapped
based on the needs of these groups by:
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f a. Making information available on subsiding programs;
1 b. Allowing special use housing for these groups in all development
districts;
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c. Requiring the needs of the handicapped
Of the Site Design Review process. to be considered as a part
7• The City shall coordinate with the
Authority, H,j1,D, and other Federal St Washington Count
provision of ate and regional agencies Housing
the subsidized g
housing programs in gencies foz
Tigard.
6.2 HOUSING COSTS
FIS
o The factors that have contributed to
materials, labor, land the increasing
average costs, financin housing costs are
g sales price of a new single family and regulation costs.
1970 to $45,000 in 1976, to over y home increased � @
$76,000 in 1980.) from $22,700 ;n
° Land and regulation costs have dramatically increased
® the cost of
development.
o Construction cots may be reduced b
alternative construction techniques, y building smaller
units and using
o Excessive regulation costs can be
u reduced by simplifying the a
g unnecessary development standards. PPlication
process and reducin
o Financing costs of residential units cannot be
Tigard; however, the City can assist controlled b
development through financin in public facilities y the City of
g mechanisms. and services
POLICIES
6.2.1 THE CITY SHALL DEVELOP CLEAR
AND CONCISE ENT REGULATIONS AND
STANDARDS TO FACILITATE THE
ELIMINATE STREAMLINING OF DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALSAND
WILL UNNECESSARY PROVISIONS WHICH COULD
,c INCREASE
COSTS WITHOUT CORRESPONDING BENEFIT.
HOU,.ING
IMPLEMR PJTA Tr„ — --_
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w1ES
I• The City shall review, revise d
sig - anu update the land d,
sign codes. The corresponding document will be f G'o„
code and identified zoning .and.
as the Tigard Community DevelopmentCode.
a a single
2• The Tigard Community Development Code shall include
the review and approval of delelo ment dear and concise
degree that the q� -qty of the p Proposals, to the
affected. This wi1� �,� review nrnresa ;
accomplished b ib not adversely
s. y, but not limit-cu to:a. Administrative Procedures;
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b. Application forms ; and
c: Clear and concise standards for each development process. E
3. The City shall seek ways to minimize the cost of housing by
encouraging a variety of home ownership alternatives, such as, but not
limited to, townhouses and condominiums.
4. The City shall continue to support the development of traditional
housing types such as single family detached dwellings, duplexes, and
apartments.
5. The Cit;r shall encourage geographic flexibility in the choice of
housing.
i6.3 ESTABLISHED RESIDENTIAL AREAS
lNDINGS
o A major concern of the community is the viability of their established
residential areas and the effect on these areas from change and growth.
o Most of the City's residential areas are rated high quality and are
expected to remain largely in their existing uses.
o There are many existing residential areas that border large tracts of
vacant, undeveloped land.
o In some instances, due to development changing economies of supply and
demand and subsequent changes in land use designations, some vacant areas
might not be developed in the same manner as the established residential
areas.
o In order to retain the character of these areas and minimize adverse
impacts of these areas, adequate standards need to be established for more
intensive residential uses that border established residential areas.
o As urbanization takes place, former vacant fields and hillsides are
developed. The result is a dense land use pattern and numbers of
unrelated types of adjoining land uses. Where these unrelated activities
come together, buffering, screening and transitional techniques can be
utilized to achieve a compatible relationship among uses.
o The intent of the plan is to use buffering, screening and transitional
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techniques to:
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Assure e that - --
. _Lry private spaces are protected.
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2. Assure that possible off site effects such as noise, glare lights and
dust do not adversely affect adjoining land uses.
3. Preserve the character of established areas.
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4. Lend visual interest and variety to the landscape.
5. Enhance cotiunuaity identity.
6. Provide a transition between unrelated uses.
POLICY
6.3.1 THE CITY SHALL DIRECT ITS LAND USE ACTIONS TOWARD THE MAINTENANCE AND
IMPROVEMENT OF ESTABLISHED RESIDENTIAL AREAS BY:
a. DESIGNATING ON THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FUTURE LAND USE MAP THE
"ESTABLISHED AREAS" COMMITTED TO RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
THE PLANNING AREA. WITHIN THE "ESTABLISHED AREAS" NEW DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE OF THE SA14E TYPE AND DENSITY IN ORDER TO PROTECT THE
CHARACTER OF EXISTING NEIGHBORHOODS.
6.3.2 IN THE TIGARD COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT CODE THE CITY SHALL REQUIRE A
DENSITY TRANSITION WHEREBY INCREASED RESIDENTIAL DENSITIES ARE
ADJACENT TO ESTABLISHED AREAS IN THE FOLLOWING MANNER:
a. THE DENSITY WITHIN 100 FEET OF EACH PROPERTY LINE SHALL NOT EXCEED
25% OVER THE DENSITY SHOWN ON THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FOR THE
ADJACENT LAND UNLESS THERE IS AN INTERVENING ROAD (MAJOR COLLECTOR
OR ARTERIAL) IN WHICH CASE THIS PROVISION SHALL NOT APPLY.
b. WHERE THE PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT ABUTS AN EXISTING HOUSING
DEVELOPMENT, THE HOUSING TYPES, SHALL BE COMPATIBLE. FOR EXAMPLE:
1. TWO HOUSING UNITS WHICH ARE ATTACHED ARE CONSIDERED COMPATIBLE
WITH A DETACHED SINGLE FAMILY UNIT; BUT
2. MORE THAN TWO HOUSING UNITS WHICH ARE ATTACHED ARE NOT
CONSIDERED COMPATIBLE WITH A SINGLE FAMILY DETACHED UNIT.
6.3.3 IN ALL PHASES OF THE DEVELOPMENT APPROVAL PROCESS IN A RESIDENTIAL
"ESTABLISHED AREA," A PRIMARY CONSIDERATION OF THE CITY SHALL BE TO
PRESERVE AND ENHANCE THE CHARACTER OF THE ADJACENT ESTABLISHED AREAS.
IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
1. The Development District Map shall indicate those areas which are
already "Established Areas". Established areas are areas which have
been determined to be developed and are as set forth on the
"Development Standards Map".
G. ma++c w.mu: 3 -. Tcvelv4weit. nv_uc salall include th..o_ aJO!Etransitional,
buffering and screening requirements.
3. The transitional, buffering and screening requirements shall he
implemented through the design review process.
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4. The City shall develop and adopt
Placement of higher intensive uses, "locational criteria" for the
5. Upon periodic plan review, the City shall raintain an updated map
showing "established" and "developing" areas,
6.4. DEVELOPING RESIDENTIAL AREAS
FINDINGS
o There are numerous areas within the Tigard Urban Planning Area that are
largely vacant and will eventually be developed for various uses. Most of
these areas are along the outer edges of the City.
o Development techniques and types have changed; and not all of these
changes can be adopted to the g exist-n
•� rigid zoning ordinance standards.
POLICY
6.4.1 THE CITY SHALL DESIGNATE RESIDENTIAL "DEVELOPING AREAS," (WHICH ARE
NOT DESIGNATED AS "_ESTABLISHED AREAS") ON THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN MAP,
AND ENCOURAGE FLEXIBLE AND EFFICIENT DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THESE AREAS.
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IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
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1• The City shall establish locational criteria for higher intensity uses
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which at a minimum addresses their proximity to collectors streets,
public transit, commercial areas and recreational facilities.
2. The Tigard Community Development Code
development standards for "developing areas."
shall include flexible
3. Within the Planned Development section of the Tigard Community
mak. Development Code:
a. Development will be prohibited on lands not classified as
developable as defined in OAR 660-07-140;
b. Twenty-five percent of the number of unite which could be
® accommodated on the undevelopable land may be transferred and
Placed on the developable land; however
C. The transfer of the density shall be limited by 1256 of the 'top of
` the range of the residential plan, classification on the
developable portions of the site.
4./'-- Te Tigard w.uwua.ity DeY21(i Yu'�rr4tLVue Shall also provide Development process which encourages innovative design, more efficient
use of land, energy efficiency and more flexible development O
r t stznlards.
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6.5 HOUSING CONDITION
FINDINGS
o A majority of the City's existing units have been built since 1960; and in
general, these units are in good condition.
o Most of the upkeep on these structures involves minor mechanical problems,
weatherization and painting.
o The City currently does not have any rehabilitation programs for those
residential structures that need major repairs. The Washington County
Community Action Organization (WCCAO) does administer a weatherization
program funded by the federal government to assist low income residents.
Other residents of Tigard may rely on federal and state tax incentives for
® weatherization, as those incentives are available. As many of the
existing 20 year-old homes age, more repair and rehabilitation work may be
needed in order to maintain the high quality of residential structures
that now exist.
POLICY
6.5.1 THE CITY SHALL REQUIRE THAT ALL HOUSING UNITS BE:
a. CONSTRUCTED ACCORDING TO THE OREGON UNIFORM BUILDING CODE OR OTHER
APPLICABLE STATE OR FEDERAL STRUCTURAL CODES; AND
b. MAINTAINED IN A MANNER WHICH DOES NOT VIOLATE THE CITY'S NUISANCE '
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ORDINANCE.
IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES
I. The Tigard Community Development Code will establish a Site Design
Review, Conditional Development and Planned Development process in
which to review development proposals.
2. The City will continue to administer the Uniform Building Code on all
applicable types of construction in Tigard.
3. The City will enforce, where financially feasible, all nuisance
ordinances that relate to structure and site appearances. The City
will encourage private property owners to comply with all nuisance
ordinances which will alleviate the financial burden of the City, and
its tax payers to enforce these ordinances.
4. The City will set reasonable rules in the Tigard Community Development
Code for accessory buildings which will protect the character of
- existing residential neighborhoods.
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6.6 ALL AREAS
POLICY
6.6.1 THE CITY SHALL REQUIRE:
a. BUFFERING BETWEEN DIFFERENT TYPES OF LAND USES (FOR EXAMPLE
BETWEEN SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENTIAL AND MULTIPLE FAMILY RESIDENTIAL
AND RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL USES AND RESIDENTIAL AND INDUSTRIAL
USES) AND THE FOLLOWING FACTORS SHALL BE CONSIDERED IN DETERMINING
THE TYPE AND EXTENT OF THE REQUIRED BUFFER:
1. THE PURPOSE OF THE BUFFER, FOR EXAMPLE TO DECREASE NOISE
LEVELS, ABSORB AIR POLLUTION, FILTER DUST OR TO PROVIDE A
VISUAL BARRIER.
2. THE SIZE OF THE BUFFER NEEDED IN TERMS OF WIDTH AND HEIGHT TO
ACHIEVE THE PURPOSE. -
3. THE DIRECTIONS) FROM WHICH BUFFERING IS NEEDED.
4. THE REQUIRED DENSITY OF THE BUFFERING.
5. WHETHER THE VIEWER IS STATIONARY OR MOBILE.
b. ON SITE SCREENING OF SUCH THINGS AS SERVICE AREAS AND FACILITIES,
STORAGE AREAS AND PARKING LOTS, AND THE FOLLOWING FACTORS SHALL BE
CONSIDERED IN DETERMINING THE TYPE AND EXTENT OF THE SCREENING:
1. WHAT NEEDS TO BE SCREENED.
Z. THE DIRECTION FROM WHICH IT IS NEEDED.
3. HOW DENSE THE SCREEN NEEDS TO BE.
4. WHETHER THE VIEWER IS STATIONARY OR MOBILE.
5. WHETHER THE SCREENING NEEDS TO BE YEAR ROUND.
CHAPTER I
HOUSING SUPPLY
�.. INTRODUCTION
Iis chapter describes the existing conditions of the Tigard housing stock.
It also notes the trends and forces affecting Tigard's local houainsarget=
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The focus of the analysis is on the important variables that affect housing
supply: the housing type, quantity, age, condition, and tenure. This
information will be used later in this report to forecast future housing
demands and needs. ;
1. There are 6112 existing dwelling units in Tigard: 55.6% are single
family units; 42.7% are multiple family units; and 1.7% are mobile
homes. [(
2. During the period between 1975 and 1979, there was a consistent trend
towards higher percentages of multiple family units. Due to the lack
of financing for non-owner occupied multiple family units, this trend
has been significantly reversed since 1979.
3. lit Tigard 50.5% of the dwelling units are owner occupied, 43.0% are
renter occupied, and the remaining units are considered vacant. ■
4. Approximate vacancy rates for the Tigard area are similar to other
metropolitan communities: 4.0% for single family, 6.0% for multiple
family, and 1.0% for mobile home parks within Tigard.
5. The City's housing stock is relatively new: 79% of the dwelling units
in Tigard have been constructed since 1960, and only 2% of the
dwelling units were constructed prior to 1940. Generally, the City's
housing stock is in good condition.
NUMBER AND TYPE OF HOUSING UNITS
Table I shows the number of housing units within the City of Tigard. The
source of this data is the 1980 Census conducted by the Federal Government.
TABLE I-1
QUANTITY AND MIX OF DWELLING UNITS - 1980
Number Percent of Total
Total Dwelling Units 6112 100.0%
iSingle Family 3398 55.6%
Multiple Family 2608 42.7%
Mobile Home 106 1.7%
Source: 1980 Census
® Of the 6112 total dwelling units within the City limits, approximately 55
percent are single family units, 43 percent are multiple-family units and 2
percent are mobile homes.
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Table 2 indicates the quantity and type of housing units for 1970 and 1980.
TABLE 1-2
U(UAANTITY AND TYPE OF DWELLING UNITS
1970 Percentage 1980 Percentage
Total Dwelling Units 2092 100.0% 6112 100.0%
Single Family 1001 47.9% 3398 55.6%
Multiple Family 1040 50.0% 2608 41.7%
Mobile Home 51 2.1% 106 1.7%
Source: 1970 & 1980 Census
Table 3 shows building permits issued from 1975 to 1980. It also indicates
that multiple family units are more likely to be constructed during periods of
greater overall housing construction, and their relative proportion of housing
units tends to be lower during periods of lower housing production.
\Y TABLE I-3
BUILDING PERMITS - 1975-1980
YEAR SINGLE FAMILY PERCENTAGE MULTIPLE FAMILY PERCENTAGE TOTAL
1975 179 54% 148 46% 327
1976 485 79% 126 21% 611 "h
1977 347 64% 142 36% 539
1978 322 55% 261 45% 583 —
1979 241 45% 292 55% 533
1980 229 76% 71 24% 300
Source: Monthly Building Permits Reports, City of Tigard
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OWNER-RENTER SPLIT
Table 4 shows the recent trend in the owner-renter split (tenure) for the City
of Tigard. The percent of homeowners in Tigard has consistently increased
since 1975. Despite increasing costs of housing in recent years and the
changing character of families and households, there is still a strong
preference for the single-family detached home.
TABLE I-4
TENURE CHARACTERISTICS
1970 Percentage 1980 Percentage
Owner Occupied 810 44.7% 3087 50.5%
Renter Occupied 1000 55.3% 2629 43.0%
Vacant 282 13.4% 394 6.5%
Total 2092 5716
Source: 1970 & 1980 Census
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Owner-occupied multiple-family housing has also increased since 1978. Typical
owner-occupied multiple-family dwelling types are referred to as condominiums
or townhouses. It should be noted that condominiums are a type of ownership ■
arrangement; that being the air space inside the structure while the
remainder of the site and structure are owned in common by all of the
residents. A condominium member may own a single-family type house, like a
townhouse or duplex, or may own a multiple-family type unit.
® The major problem associated with condominiums arises from the fact that often
existing mul—ple=farily complexes generally used by renters ( some low and
moderate income) are converted to owner-occupied condominiums. This may
involve the displacement of renters that would otherwise not be able to afford
to purchase a condominium or haher priced rental units.
Currently, about 11 percent (296 units)* of the multiple-family units in
Tigard is converted to owner-occupied condominiums. (*Source: Oregon Dept,
of Commerce-Real Estate Division) Compared with other municipalities, Tigard's
conversion situation is minor. If the situation became rampant, it would be
clear that the multiple-family units may be eliminated, which may further
eliminate housing choice for many Tigard residents.
In 1976-the Summerfield development introduced the first single-family
attached townhouses into the Tigard housing market. Although townhouses
represent a small proportion of Tigard's- owner-occupied units, it is
anticipated that this type of home ownership will increasein demand;
.r especially as land costs continue to increase.
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VACANCY RATES
The actual proportion of housing units which are unoccupied is very difficult
to estimate accurately. The census count is most accurate but is available
only at ten-year increments. Other methods of assessing vacancy rates are
less exact and have characteristic shortcomings.
For multiple-family (mainly apartment) vacancy rates, surveys of manager are
useful in that they can be conducted relatively easily and may therefore be
most up-to-date. However, there may be a bias in such surveys toward
underestimation of vacancies by apartment managers desiring to report that
business is better than it really is.
The two vacancy surveys that the City of Tigard has relied on in conducting
the City's housing needs are the Postal Survey and PGE (Portland General
Electric) Survey.
The Postal vacancy surveys sponsored by HUD and conducted by the US Postal
Survey report consistently lower vacancy rates than other periodic surveys.
Depending upon how well the postman knows the route, this survey can count as
vacant those units where residents are actually on vacation. On the other
hand, some dwellings which are vacant may not be counted if they are rental
units at which the owner receives mail.
The PGE vacancy surveys, based on units using more than 10 KWH of electricity
per month produce rates consistently higher than the actual figure. For one
thing, they include units under construction as vacant. When electricity is
cut off by the company for nonpayment of bills, the dwelling is still l sted
as vacant. Also, residents on vacation have their dwellings_ counted as
vacant. Actual vacancy rates probably lie between the figures estimated by
PGE and the Postal Service. Table I-5 indicates both PGE and Postal Service
vacancy rates.
TABLE I-5
HOUSING VACANCY RATES, 1980
Postal Survey PGE Survey
Single-Family 0.8% 4.3%
Multiple-Family 4.8% 6.1%
Mobile Home 1.1X 4.0X
The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), in its publication
The Urban Housing Market Analysis Manual, indicates that in growing areas a
healthy vacancy rate, one that will provide flexibility and choice to
consumers, ought to be 3 percent for single-family units and 6 percent for
multiple-family units.
s
}
Mk
-13-
}
f
t
' Table I-6 offers a recent historical comparison of vacancy rates in Tigard.
TABLE I-6
TIGARD VACANCY RATES (,
Date Source Single-Family Multiple-Family Mobile Homes E
April 1970 US Census .3 12.2* N/A
October 1975 Postal Survey 1.1 2.0 N/A '
April 1980 US Census 3.7 9.1* N/A
January 1982 Postal Service 0.8 4.8 1.1
I-'
January 1982 PGE 4.3 6.1 4.0
Sources: 1970 & 1980 Census, Portland General Electric and US Postal Service.
® *These figures are based on tenure and not the housing type.
AGE OF HOUSING
Table I-7 indicates the age of Tigard's housing stock through 1980. During
the 1970's approximately 54 percent of Tigard's housing stock was constructed,
and 79 percent of the total housing stock was built between.. 1960 & 1980.
These would tend to indicate that Tigard's housing stock is relatively new and
in relatively good condition.
TABLE I-7
AGE OF HOUSING STOCK
Year Structure Built Number of Units Percent of Units
1979-1980 489 8%
1975-1978 1895 31
1970-1974 917 15%
1960-1969 1528 25%
1950-1959 550 9%
1940-1949 244 4%6
1939 or earlier 122 26
Unknown - 6%
Source Citizen Needs Assessment Survey of Washington Counter, 1980.
-14
M :
HOUSING CONDITIONS AND QUALITY
i
Another measure of reviewing the quality of Tigard's housing stock is by
looking at various deficiencies within each dwelling unit; for instance:
plumbing, electrical, heating and roofing. Table I-8 uses the Citizens Needs
Assessment Survey (1980) to evaluate structural and mechanical repairs. Table
I-9 indicates the type of number of repairs that were completed in Tigard
during 1979-80.
i
TABLE I-8
REPAIRS NEEDED FOR DWELLINGS IN TIGARD, 1980
Need Wait
Need This Until Don't Don't
Item Now Year Next Year Need Know
Flood Repairs 2% 3% 4% 90% 2%
Roof Repairs 2% 5% 5% 83% 5%
Exterior Painting 3% 12% 19% 65% 1%
Foundation/Basement Repairs 1% 2% 2% 90X b%
Electrical Repairs 1% 2% 2% 90% 4%
PLum �..� Repair-- 2% 6% 4% 85% 4%
t
s
Repairs To Walls 2% 1% 2% 93% 2%
Repairs To Heating System 1% 2% 2% 92% 3%
Interior Painting 2% 12% 16% 68% 1%
Chimney Repairs 1% 1% 1% 91% 6%
t
Source: Citizen Needs Assessment Survey of Washington County, 1980.
a�
-15-
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By the previous two tables, it is evident that over 80 percent of Tigard',
Y good structural and mechanical condition. MostOf
surveyed residences are in g given repair (e.g. plumbing
the mechanical repairs cost less than $ori for u kee that was required of
painting, and a e~.ajority
or electrical repairs). The vast majority of upkeep
residences in wirer involved
oto veded atxterlessothan $500 for r and oeach residence.
of those costs
i
CHAPTER II
HOUSING DEMAND
INTRODUCTION
This chapter discusses those factors that affect the demand for housing.
Housing demand is deteor►ni hold by
characteriste number i s people
OThesen characteristics the market a�ofhthe
incomes, and their h e of housing services
population are important elements which influence
and private sectors.
that are supplied to consumers by P
and
1980 the
1. In 19801 Tigard had a population of 14,286• B ercent.twee19Between 1980 and
City grew at an approximate annual rate of 5.0 p artiall
1982 the City's population increased by 2958 (this increase is p Y
due to recent annexations).
2. Tigard has a diverse and healthy economic base.
ard is 2.49 persons per household.
3. The average household size in Tig
t
4. The 1980 median family income in Tigard was $23,426 which is higher than
many other cities within the Portland metropolitan area.
o
5. The median age of the City's population is 29.46 years old.
guidelines indicate that monthly rent payments not exceeding 25
6. Federal g g costs.
percent of gross income are considered to be affordable housing
households spend in excess of 25.6
Twenty-seven percent of Tigard's
percent of their income for housing•
households earning 80 percent of the
7. Federal guidelines indicate that and households
City's median income are considered to be moderate income,
earning 50 percent or less of the City's median income are considered low
_ income. In Tigard 33 percent of the households havebeen determined rhPse household thave
be
low and moderate income. About 5 percent of
received or are receiving some form of housing assistance.
s ;
-17-
POPULATION, INCOME AND HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS
To completely understand the characteristics of Tigard's housing supply, the
changes in demand and the present level of demand must first be analyzed.
Between 1970 and 1980 Tigard's population grew by approximately 900 people per
year (5.0 percent annually). In 1970 Tigard's population was 5,302. During
the period between 1970 and 1980, Tigard's population increased over 2 1/2
times to 14,286. Since 1980 Tigard's population growth rate has increased to
6.0 percent annually. The increase since 1980 has also been caused by
numerous annexations. The City does not anticipate that the annual growth
will increase beyond 5 percent annual to the year 2000.
In the discussion of a housing market, the age distribution of the population
and household size give useful indications in analyzing the nature of housing
demand than overall population growth.
Table II-1 indicates the distribution by age of the total population and
percent change between 1970 and 1980. Tigard's rapid population growth has
affected al.l. aogroups.groups. The rapid increase of people over 55 years of age is
U
partially due to the Summerfield development in southwest Tigard, which
developed strictly for residents beyond the age of 40 years.
TABLE II-1
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL TIGARD POPULATION
(1970 to 1980)
Age Group 1970 Percent Change 1980
Under 5 607 77% 1078
5-9 503 92% 968
10-14 418 145% 1023
15-19 396 176% 1094
20-24 676 124% 1518
25-29 696 130% 1600
30-34 338 304% 1365
35-44 504 240% 1717
45-54 478 150:0 1198
55-59 176 288% 684
60-64 139 '1124% 589
65-74 180 424% 944
75 & over 191 1666 508
Total 5302 169% 14286
Median Age 25.35 29.46
Source: 1970 & 1980 Census.
F
-18-
® Now
POPULATION SUBGROUPS
Tigard's existing percentage of nonwhite population falls somewhere in the
middle of the range when compared with other communities over 10,000
population and within the metropolitan area. Tigard's nonwhite population
percentage is also somewhat less than Washington County as a whole.
TABLE II-2
NONWHITE: PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION
COMMUNITIES OVER 10,000 POPULATION
CITY PERCENTAGE IN 1980
Tigard 3.5%
Beaverton 7.2%
Forest Grove 6.1%
Gresham 4.0%
Hillsboro 5.3%
Lake Oswego 2.7%
Milwaukie 3.1%
Oak Grove 3.0%
Oregon City 3.2%
West Linn 2.7%
Average of all communities 4.0�
Washington County 5.0%
Source: 1980 Census
Table II-3 indicates the percentage of change in percent for nonwhite groups
from 1970 to 1980.
TABLE II-3
NONWHITE PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION - CITY OF TIGARD
1970 Percentage 1989 Percentage
Percent of Population Nonwhite 26 .49% 503 3.5%
Black 7 .13% 52 .36%
Indian 7 .13% 71 .496
Asian and Pacific Island 9 .17% 216 1.516
Other 3 .066 164 1.15%
Source: 1970 & 1980 Census.
-I9-
a'
HOUSEHOLD SIZE
Household size is one of the most important factors in projecting future
housing needs. During the past twenty years, tha average household in the
United States decreased from 3.33 people in 1960 to 3.14 people in 1970, and
2.30 people in 1980. Nationwide, the rise of one and two person households
has been dramatic in recent years and Tigard's household size since 1970 has
reflected the national trend.
Table II-4 indicates the increase of households and the size of households
between 1970 and 1980. During the study period there were increases in all
household sizes, and substantial increases in one through four person
households; with six plus person household increasing substantially slower
than other household sizes.
TABLE II-4
HOUSEHOLD GROWTH BY SIZE OF HOUSEHOLD
Size of Household 1970 (1970 to 1980)
Percent Change 19bo
1 person 307 333% 1329
2 persons 590 275%
3 persons 366 2
152% 921 921
4 persons 298 172% 812
5 persons 150 105% 307
6 persons 99 34%
133
Total 1810 216% 5716
Source: 1970 & 1980 Census.
_i
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
The basic determinant of housing demand is household incomes. In 1980 the
..edian household income in Tigard was $23,426 which was slightly less than the
overall Washington County median household income of $24,069. Table II-5
indicates Tigard's ratio of income to housing values and rents.
As used by the US Census, family refers to persons related by blood living in
the same housing unit. Household refers to all persons related to unrelated
who occupy a group of rooms or a single room which constitutes a housing unit.
j"
-20-
s�
TABLE II-5
RATIO OF INCOME TO HOUSING VALUES AND RENTS - 1980
Tigard Washington County
Median Value of Owner-occupied Home $76,623 $76,448*
Median Gross Rent $320.74 $347.50
Median Income of Families $27,000* $27,000*
Median Income of Household $23,426 $24,069
Median Income of Renters $16,875 $16,899
Median Income of Homeowners $26,800 $26,881
Ratio of median home value to
median income of homeowners 2.85 2.84
Ratio for median monthly rent to
median income of renters .228 .246
Sources: Citizen Needs Assessment Survey of Washington County - Tigard, 1980
*Portland SMSA - HUD, 1981
Washington County Community Development Plan, 1981.
Tigard, as well as Washington County, has one of the highest median household
incomes in the state.
TABLE II-6
llbHnu'S DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME - 1980
. .,
Percent of
Income 14,268 Total Population Households
$0 - 12,500 2,857 20%
$12,501 - 25,000 5,143 36%
$25,001 37,500 4,143 29%
$37,501 - 50,000+ 2,143 15%
Median household income $23,426
Source: Citizens Needs Assessment Survey of Washington County, 1980.
Since Tigard is within the Portland metropolitan area, not all of its
residents are likely to both live and work in Tigard. Therefore, it seems
likely that the distribution of Tigard's household incomes will remain
reasonable close to the overall household income of Washington County and the
Portland metropolitan area provided that the economy of the area remains
diversified.
• The diversified economy of the metropolitan area allows the residents VL all
--of the comrun;ties throughout the area to live in the community of their
choice, e.g. Tigard, while working in Portlandorvice versa. q
-21
ASSISTED HOUSING
According to Federal policies and criteria, households earning 80 percent or
less of the areas median income are considered to be moderate income
households, and households earning 50 percent or less of the areas median
income are considered low income households. It is likely that these groups
may need some housing assistance. the Citizen Needs Assessment Survey of
Washington County, Tigard 1980, revealed that approximately 28 percent of the
households in the Tigard area have incomes at or below the moderate income
level of Tigard.
Low income 13% 10,450
Low-Moderate income 28% $16,700
Additionally, 27 percent, or approximately 1,543 households, of the total
households in Tigard are spending more than 25 percent of their income on
housing.
Table I1-7 distinguishes from low and low-moderate incomes that are presently
homeowners and renters.
TABLE II-7
LOW AND LOW-MODERATE HOMEOWNERS AND RENTERS
Owners # of Households Percentage of
Households
Low Income 247 8%
Moderate Income 340 11%
Subtotal 587 19%
Renters*
Low Income 683 26%
Moderate Income 630 24%
Subtotal 1313 50
Total Household Eligible
For Assistance 1900 33.2%
Source: Citizens Needs Assessment Survey - Tigard, 1980.
* Due to sample size, the estimates may not portray a totally accurate
representation:
Tre Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) estimates that 15% of
-,a .,(1n.,w,n) -1-0d be ta,oered as a three (3) year
the total eligible household's ,9n
goal for housing assistance program:
1900 x .15 = 285 Households in need of Housing Assistance in the vert
three (3) years.
-22-
® R
7
The Housing Authority of Washington County operates a variety of programs
which provide affordable housing for low and moderate income residents. Many
of these available programs could be used for this targeted group. Currently, ¢
there are 95 public housing units owned and/or subsidized by the Housing
Authority of Washington County. Of these 95 units, 85 are funded under
various Section 8 programs, 10 are funded through permanent conventional
public housing, and an additional 21 units are also targeted for funding
through permanent conventional public housing. The existing 95 units only
have capability of settii.ng approximately one-third of those households that
need housing assistance.
HOUSING NEEDS OF DIFFERENT POPULATION SUB-GROUPS
Senior Citizens Housing Needs: According to the Citizens Needs Assessment
Survey of Washington County, 19 percent of the total households in Tigard are
composed of senior citizens, out of which 22 percent are considered to have
low incomes and 47 percent are considered in low and moderate income g
categories. Table II-8 shows the total number of senior citizens and their
income levels.
TABLE II-8
PERCENT AND NUMBER OF SENIOR CITIZENS WITHIN LOW
AND MODERATE INCOME LEVELS
Approximate
Percent of Total Number of r'
Households Households
€
Total Senior Citizen Households 196 1086
E
Low Income 22ro 239
Moderate Income 25% 271 �
Total in need of housing assistance 510
Female Headed Household Housing Needs: currently, it is estimated that female -
headed households account for 15 percent of the total households in the
sampled Tigard area*, of which 31% have low incomes and 63% have low and
moderate incomes.
Minorities Housing Needs: Minority households account for 4.1 pet-cent of the
total households in Tigard. Twenty-eight percent live in owner--,occupied
households while 62 percent rent their dwelling units.
HOUSING ASSISTANCE FOR NO= REPAIRS
Most of the housing stock within Tigard is in good condition. However, there
is a percentage of the homes in Tigard that qualify for housing assistance due
.'. to deterioration. According to Washington County Community Development Plan,
1981, the following percentage of homes need major repairs in Tigard:
Plumbing repairs - 8 percent, roofing repairs. - percent, and flooring
repairs - 5 percent. (Within these percentages it is assumed that overlapping
occurs.)
-23 -
Currently, the Washington County Community Development Office operates two
programs to assist low and moderate income and senior households with housing s
rehabilitation and repair: 1) a no-interest housing rehabilitation deferred
payment loan program available to low and moderate income owner-occupied
households, and 21 a $1,500 emergency repair grant set aside for low and
moderate income senior households.
i
Weatherization: A majority of the housing units in Tigard have some sort of
insulation; mostly storm or double pane windows, attic insulation and sidewall
insulation. Currently, 46 percent of the homes in Tigard need storm or
double-pane windows and 9 percent of the homes need attic insulation. (Again
it is assumed that there is overlap between these percentages). Source:
Washington County Community Development Plan, 1981. $
* Citizens Needs Assessment Survey of Washington County, 1980 (sample size 153
households). t
r
i
WCCAO, the Washington County Community Action Organization, administers a
weatherization program funded by the Federal Department of Energy for low
income households.
Substandard Housing: Estimates of substandard owner occupied units are based
on those dwellings that are valued at less than $10,000. According to the 3
1980 Census there are only 2 units (.064 percent) in Tigard which are
( substandard.
Estimates of substandard ren::er occupied units are based on those units for
which gross rents are less than $80 per month. The 1980 Census recognized 17
rental units (.64%) which are substandard, t
PREFERRED HOUSING STYLES*
r
s
Despite the increasing cost of housing and the changing character of families
and households, a strong preference for the single family home stills exists.
e
Probably the best available source of information about housing preferences
nationwide is The HUD Survey on the Quality of Community Life. This survey
asked detailed questions to discover how more than 7,000 people felt about
thein communities. This study found among other things that three-fourths of
all Americans prefer to own a single family detached home. People in the west
rend to prefer single family homes slightly more than the national average,
Ten percent of the population prefer to live in a low or high rise apartment.
Apartments are preferred by the elderly more than other age groups, but also
by single persons and those who are widowed, divorced or separated more than ,
by married persons. Those with no children living at home also favor
apartment living more often than families with children in the household.
Single family attached structures and mobile homes are also favored by a
significant portion of the population (4.1% and 3.7 "). As second choices,
such units are even more popular; single family attached units come second
with 28% and mobile homes with 6.3% of survey respondents.
-24-
6
f
Affordable housing was a "very important" or "important" consideration for 71%
of Americans in selecting a home. The type of housing available was a
significant factor for 67% of Americans. The least significant factor was
good mass transportation. Factors rated somewhere in between were; proximity
to friends and relatives; amount of open space; convenience of shopping,
availability of recreation, culture and entertainment; school quality; tax g
rates; neighborhood appearance; neighborhood ethnic/racial composition; and
change of job. Also very important was neighborhood safety. An earlier
(1976) HUD study found that neighborhood safety and quality were much more
important than dwelling unit characteristics. '
None of the available data indicates why people prefer one type of housing
style to another. It could be surmised that people prefer single family homes
primarily because they have more space, offer more privacy, and generally fit
the lifestyle many people are used to. Or people may prefer apartments,
condominiums or townhouses not only as less expensive to buy, but also as less
time-consuming and costly to maintain, allowing residents to spend more time
and money on the things they enjoy. Lifestyle then, may be a major
determinant of housing preference. As lifestyles change, so may the kind of
preferred housing.
Market trends in home-buying, as mentioned above, are less precise indications
of housing preferences. Nevertheless, such trends show an increase in the
purchase and rental of alternative housing styles, such as condominiums,
townhouses and mobile homes. This may result from considerations of lifestyle
or from affordability; which factors dominate choices cannot be confirmed at
this time.
1.
*Source: Washington County Draft Resource Document, August, 1931. '
CHAPTER III
COST OF HOUSING
INTRODUCTICN
This chapter analyzes, from a regional and local perspective, the increasing E '
cost of housing and the ability of Tigard residents to acquire their housing
needs.
1. The average sales price of the new single family increased from
$22,700 in 1970 to $45,000 in 1976, to over $76,000 in 19800.
2. Land, financing (interest rates) and permit costs have caused the
largest increases in the price of a new single family home.
` 3. With current interest rates at 12-16 percent (March 1952), only 15-20
percent of-Tigard's households can afford the median priced home.
g ,
-25-
4 With current rental price structures and afrordability guidelines
established by the federal government, at least 25 percent of
Tigard's households are unable to rent affordable housing.
Owner-Occupied Housing Costs
The cost of housing has increased dramatically over the last few years, and
subsequently, the issue of housing affordability is creating a major strain on
the housing market, loaning institutions, local municipalities and the
consumers.
In 1976, the sales price of a conventional single-family home in Tigard
averaged about $45,000. An annual gross income of $18,816 was required to
purchase an average cost conventional new home in Tigard, or an average of
$392 per month, excluding insurance, maintenance and utilities. This figure
is based on the fact that loan institutions did not grant mortgages when more
than 25 percent of the gross income would be required for housing costs. City
of Tigard families had an estimated medium income of $16,147 in 1976, which
means the average household could not afford the average new single-family
home.
The 1975 Preliminary Washington County Housing Plan portrayed an even grimmer .
assumption using slightly different, but plausible factors. For instance,
they assumed a 10% down payment and a 30-year loan period and included
insurance and maintenance cost in its calculations. With these changes, a
$45,000 Nouse became unaffordable to any household with less than an annual
income of $27,744. '
Since 1976, the average sales price of a single family home in Tigard has
increased from $45,000 to over $76,600, or a 70.2 percent increase in four t
years while the median income has only increased 44 percent, $16,147 to
$23,426, during the same four-year time period.
Current Federal Home Administration (FHA) purchasing qualification standards
have allowed up to 30 percent of a household's monthly gross income to be II
spent towards housing. At 14 percent interest on mortgages, only 15-20
percent of Tigard's households could afford the average priced home in I
Tigard. With a median household monthly income of $1952 in Tigard, only $585
of that monthly gross income could be allocated towards housing. Another
common procedure that has been used to determine housing affordability has
been to multiply the gross income by 2.5. `aouseholds with an annual gross t'
income of $23,426 could possibly afford a $58,600 home. The actual
affordability of a $58,600 would depend on the interest rate of the mortgage.
For instance, at 10 percent interest monthly payments would be $604, at 12 p
percent interest monthly payment,,,,, would be $683 and at 14 percent interest
monthly payments would increase to $765 per month. (All of the above figures
include principle, interest, taxes and insurance.)
Table III-1 indicates the median incomes required to purchase the median price
home in Tigard at various interest rates. Not all of the homes constructed
and sold in Tigardare costing $76,600, therefore another scenario for a
$55,000 house is shown in Table III-2. Regardless of the actual price of a
home, interest rates are the most predominating determinants of
-26--
I
affordability. The same $55,000 house may cost as much as $200 more a month +
given the range of current available interest rates. Beyond the affordability
of any given home on a monthly basis, the increased amount of cash required
for a down payment has also made home purchase extremely difficult for many
first time buyers.
's
TABLE III-1
INCOME REQUIRED TO PURCHASE A $76,600
HOME AT VARIOUS INTEREST RATES*
Down Payment (20%) $15,320 $15,320 $15,320
Monthly Payment:
- Interest Rate @ 10% @ 12% @ 16%
- Principle & Interest $ 557 $ 645 $ 832
- Property Tax 123 123 123
- Insurance 19 19 19
TOTAL MONTHLY PAYMENT $ 699 $ 787 $ 974
Monthly Income Required $ 2,330 $ 2,623 $ 3,247
to to to
(25% to 30% of Gross Income) $ 2,796 $ 3,148 $3,896
� sYearly income Required $ 27,960 $ 31,476 $ 381964
to to to
$ 33,552 $ 37,776 $ 46,752
*Assume conventional mortgage, 25 year term, 20% down payment and average
property taxes at $23.75 pet $1,000 value.
ii
Source: Tigard Planning Department 1982.
{
ti
�s
-27-
TABLE III-2
INCOME REQUIRED T'0 PURCHASE A $55,000
HOME AT VARIOUS INTEREST RATES*
Down Payment $11,000 $11'000 $11;000
Monthly Payment: (d 12% @ 16%
- Interest Rate $ 10.E 598
13
- Principle & Interest $ 4 $ 463 $
13 13 13
- Property Tax 89 89
Insurance 89
TOTAL MONTHLY PAYMENT $ 502 $ 565 $700
+ '
Monthly Income Required $ 1,673 $ 1,883 $ ?,333 '
to to to
(.25% to 30% of Gross Income) $ 2,008 $ 2,260 $ 2,800
Yearly Income Required $20,076 ;"22,596 $27,996
to to to
$24,096 $27,120 $33,600
* Assume conventional mortgage, 25-year term, 20% down payment and property
tax at $23.75 per $1000 value.
3 ears will have principle and interest
(For comparison: A 10% mortgage @ Oy
�. reduction., c �•. +.16_()Q. This still translates to a i
payments of $488 a reductive of ---y
��� o� $14.524 to $23 424..) �
yearly income g;
Table III-3 A & B shows the breakdown of income ranges, based on $12,500
increments and $5,000 increments to $20,000, they indicate that the median
annual incowe level in Tigard is just less than $23,500.
TABLE III-3
A. JISTRIEUTION OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME - TIGARD
Income Range _ Percentage
$ 0 - 12,500 20%
12,500 - 36%
25,000
25,001 - 37,500 29 j
37,501 50,000 + 15% I .
100%
Median income: $23,426.72
B DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME - TIGARD
$ 0 = 10,000 3.8X C
10,001 15,000 8.8%
i 11.7%
15,001 - 20,000
20,000 + 75.7%
`...4, 100 X
. x
-28-
Based on figures in Tables III-1 through III-3, only 15 percent of Tigard's
residence can afford an average priced home of $76,600 The percentage of
households which could afford a $55,000 home is greater than 15 percent,
however, over 55 percent of Tigard's residence could not afford a $55,000
single family home. As the interest rate increases, the percent of households
which could afford a $55,000 home decreases.
Land, financing and permit costs have been the most rapidly increasing
components in home prices. Current mortgage interest rates, alone, have
increased approximately 30-55 percent since 1977. Table III-7 indicates the
percent of each cost components for a typical single family house in Western
Washington County.
f
,;..
f
P
R
t
r
{
-29
�. ,
TABLE III -4
ABILITY TO PURCHASE A HOME 1979
PORTLAND, OREGON — VANCOUVER, WASHINGTON SMSA
Family Income:
Distribution
Deciles Dollars
10
9,5 43,054-
9 38,065
$ 28,005 19% earn over$29,440
29% earn over$24,300
7 23,811
E 6 21,043
0 48%earn over $19,000
c 5 18,200 --------- -- -- --- Median .
54% earn
C over$17,187
C: 4 15,716 / o 0
$14,550
------- a _ o °_80°/G Median- — - —
3 13,226 ov
C^ C. E
a)G) O
2 10,226 v = N
•� Z
m
1
6,306- ca
c° m o ``°
cu
¢ Z
0
0 25 50 75 100
Home Value -($ in Thousands)
THE AVERAGE COST MOBILE HOME EXCLUSIVE OF LAND OR SPACE RENTAL WAS$22.0000 IN 1979
• HOMES SOLD THROUGH MULTIPLE LISTING SYSTEM
SOURCES. REAL ESTATE TRENDS; MOBILE NOME DEALERS ASSOCIATION,
HUD PORTLAND AREA OFFICE
t
''
711.
s
I'E1BLE 111-5
I
ABILITY TO RENT A HOME 1979
PORTLAND, OREGON - VANCOUVER, WASHINGTON SMSA
Ren!-,r Income
Distribution"
Deciles Dollars
10
9.5 2,519 1.00
9 2,020 €
8 1,701
24%eam over$1,583(Income
to Buy 'No FIIIIa*Home)
7 1.388 28%earn over S 1,412 1
33%earn over S 1,328
G 6 1,186 43%earn over S 1.128 e
O
5 994 ------ — ---------- Median-
5z%
earn over -------ms
C - I
$856 F.
b8%*am €
O 4802 over S8T2
�. 83% earn „o,
79 °;e_ST40 N 80% Median
— —
3 601 w
2a N
405
Q N
E E c
o:a o c0 cc
a
1 d
211m m
� N
d � i QF�yk e Y O O' fF
N 9 A 41
0 <` (< <`
0 250 5 0 750 000
Monthly Rent ($)
x:CLUDES ONE PFR$l1N t!otSE!O f)g I
SOURCES: APARTMENT DATA CENTER RENT SURVEY; p
HUD PORTLAND AREA OFFICE
rhb,}
TABLE III-6 E
FOUR YEAR TRENDS IN OREGON HOUSING
Characteristic Metro Portland
5 Counties
1977 1978 1979 1980
Size of Lot 8201' 8735' 8660' 8475'
Value of Lot $12,026 $15,999 $17,921 $21,592
Land Cost Per Sq. Ft. $1.40 $1.70 $2,09 $2.51
Avg. Final Sales Price $50,308 $61,250 $74,081 $76:343
Bldg. Cost Per Sq. Ft.
- Includes Land - $30.43 $36.52 $43.72 $46743
Avg. Size of Home 1642' 1659' 1`vv9'
2 Bedroom 10% 11% 6% 6%
3 Bedroom 76% 71% 70% 79%
4 Bedroom 14% 19% 18% 14%
Source: Home Builders Association of Metropolitan Portland
TABLE III-7
COST BREAKDOWNS FOR AVERAGE HOME
Permits 2 %
Labor 9 %
Subcontractors 32 %
Material 13.0%
Overhead 2.5%
interest 3.8%
Profit 4.2%
Land 26.5%
Real Estate Commission 6 %
Miscellaneous 1 %
TOTAL 100 %
Source: Washington County Resource Document, 1981.
The increase in the various development cost have not contributed equally to
the rise in housing costs. Table III-7 shows the same construction cost, in
land, permits and financing costs, which are increasing faster than the
current rate of inflation.
-32-
_77
Ns
TTABLE III-8
INCREASES IN COST CATEGORIES SINCE 1977
Material 2 %
Labor 20
Land 75.5%
Financing 46
Profit/Overhead 32 %
Permits 64 %
Commissions 32 %
Source: Portland Metropolitan Homebuilders Association, 1981.
Labor and materials, while still the single most costly components of a new
home, have increased substantially less as a percentage compared to the total
cost, conversely, land costs have increased most dramatically. Land costs are
composed of the direct raw land, the costs of holding the land, plus the cost
to improve the land to government specifications. In most jurisdictions there
are standards requiring certain street widths and the provision of sidewalks,
underground utilities, curbs, gutters and, in some cases., public open space.
t The increased costs of homes has not been due to an increase in the size of a
single family home. Though costs have increased and family sizes have
decreased, the size of a new home remained fairly constant throughout the
1970's and decreased in the 1980's.
ADDITIONAL HOUSING COSTS
Besides the actual costs of constructing a dwelling unit within the City of
Tigard, there are additional permit and connection fees charged to the
developer which are absorbed in the purchase price or rent of each dwelling
unit. The following table describes the permit fees and connection charges
for an average sized home in Tigard and for multiple-family dwellings in
general:
w
7-7
l, .
t _
-33-
z
. W�
IF
TABLE III-9
PERMIT AND CONNECTION FEE CHARGES*
Single Family Residence: $76,000
Permit $ 361
4% state tax 14
Plan review (65% of permit charge) 235
Sewer connection fee 775
Connection inspection 35
System development charge: street 400
System development charge: park 100
TOTAL $1,920
Multiple Family Residential: 10 units
Permit $ 968
4% state tax 39
Plan Check (65% of permit charge) 629
Fire marshal_ plan check
(40% of permit charge) 387
Sewer connection charge
at $775 per unit 7,750
<` Connection inspection 45
System development charge: street 2,400
System development charge:
+' park at $60 per unit 600
TOTAL $12,818
c ^
All of these fees and charges are due upon the City's issuance of a building
permit.
Single Family Dwelling Size
'fable III-10 shows the average floor space of new homes in the Metro Portland
Area since 1977 and Tigard's average in 1980.
-34-
777
4
r TABLE III-10
AVERAGE FLOOR SPACE (SQUARE FEET) OF NEW
HOMES COMPLETED, METRO PORTLAND
Year Average Square Feet
1977 1,642
2478 1,659
1979 1,669
1980 1,623
Tigard 1980 1,707
Source: Bureau of Census, Construction Reports; Characteristics of New
One-Family Homes, 1981.
RENTAL HOUSING COSTS
Presumably, the rental market is the main form of housing for as much as 50
percent of Tigard's residents for new housing. According to the State Housing
Division's Housing Market Analysis Situation Report for Washington County,
October 1980, there has been a decline in multiple family units compared to
previous years.
The rental market in Washington County is moderate to tight (February 1982),
and it is out of equilibrium due to the high interest rates which prevent
people from purchasing single family homes thus putting increased demand on
the rental market.
Rents including utilities range approximately from $205 to over $40'0. The
average rent foz_ a three bedroom apartment including utilities is
approximately $380, a two bedroom with utilitic_' is approximately $300** and "a
one bedroom including utilities is approximately $270**. The overall average
rent is approximately $300.
Table III-11 indicates the affordable monthly rents based on income.
TABLE III-11
AFFORDABLE MONTHLY RENTS, BASED ON INCOME
Household Type Household Income Affordable Fents at % Income
25% 28% 30%
Renters, Median $16,897 $352 $394 $422
Low Income* $10,450 $218 $244 $261
Moderate Income* $16,700 $348 $390 $418
Senior d,� cnn 06 $408 $438
Female Head Household $13,705 $286 $320 $343
Widows $12,812 $267 $299 $320
* HUD Standard for lows and moderate income levels.
Source: Citizens Needs Assessment Survey, Washington Co. 1980
Washington County Community Development Plan, 1981
-35
R Comparing these rent levels with Table III-3 (Distribution of Household
Incomes - Tigard), it appears that approximately 25 percent of the households
in Tigard will not be adequately serviced by the local rental market,
The following table from, the HUD displays the projected demand by price level
for new single-family and multiple-family units and further illustrates the
difficulties regarding home ownership and affordable rentals,
l
36-
TABLE III-12
ESTIMATED ANNUAL DEMAND FOR NEW NONSUBSIDIZED HOUSING
WASHINGTON COUNTY OREGON - OCTOBER 1980
A. Sales Units (Land Included)
NUMBER PERCENT
PRICE CLASS OF HOUSES OF TOTAL
Under $55,000 780 28.5
755 27.6
$55,000 - $59,999 .
1
$60,000 - $64,999 45 1.
560 20.55
$65,000 - $69,999 55 2.0
$70,000 - $74,999
$75,000 - $79,999 70 .6
115 2 2.2
$80,000 - $84,999 13.2
$85,000 and Over 357
2,737 100.0
B. Multifamily Units
1W0 THREE OR MORE
CONTRACT ONE BEDROOMS
MONTHLY RENT EFFICIENCIES BEDROOM BEDROOMS
Under $220 30 0 0 0
$220 - $229 15 0 0 0
$230 - $239 10 0 0 0
$240 $249 5 0 0 0
$250 - $259 5 0 0 0
$260 - $269 0 165 0 0
$270 - $279 0 110 0 0
s $280 - $289 0 80 0 0
$290 - $299 0 45 0 0
$300 - $309 0 30 130 0
$310 $319 0 20 90 0
$320 - $329 0 15 70 0
$330 - $339 0 10 50 0
$340 - $349 0 5 40 0
$350 $359 0 5 30 20
$360 $369 0 0 20 10
$370 $379 0 0 15 10
$380 - $389 0 0 10 5
$390 $399 0 0 10 5
$400 and Over 0 0 20 25
65 475 485 75
S Source: HUD Situation Report, 1980.
-37
MANUFACTURED HOUSING
Another major possibility for enlarging the opportunity for single family home
ownership among middle-income households is through manufactured housing.
Currently, 30-34% of all new homes are manufactured homes and over 90% of all
new homes under $40,000 are manufactured homes. (Source: Oregon Manufactured
Housing Dealers Association, 1982. )
Manufactured housing is defined as a manufactured building or major portion of
a building designed for long term residential use. It is designed and
constructed for transportation to a site for installation and occupancy when
connected to required utilities.
Stereotype views of yesterday's manufactured homes as dangerous, rapid
depreciating and ugly "trailers" stacked in lower class areas, do not fit
modern models or the ways in which manufactured housing are sited.
Manufactured homes are not all alike. At one end of the spectrum is the new
dwelling built to federal code standards, with a floor area up to 1800 square
feet set on a submerged foundation eliminating the necessity of skirting; and
at the other end is a visually indistinguishable structure built to no
acceptable standard and highly questionable for human occupancy. Between the
two extremes are varying ranges of mobile and manufactured homes.
All constructed homes manufactured since June 15, 1976 have been built to the
Y` National Mobile Home Construction and Safety Standards Act of 1974 established
and enforced by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). These
standards along with state standards for installing mobile homes are enforced
by the Oregon Department of Commerce. State standards are supplemented by
additional installation standards adopted by most local jurisdictions. Prior
to 1976, 46 states, required compliance to the mobile home standards as
established by the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) and the
American National Standards Institute (ANSI). (Source: Regulating Mobile
14
Homes, Planning Advisory Service.)
,A
i Traditionally, manufactured homes have been located in mobile home parks,
which provide rental space for these mobile homes on parcels of land under one
ownership. These mobile home parks still exist and the rental rates in the
Portland 'Metropolitan area currently range from $55 to $175 per month with
median rates of $110 for single-wide homes and $122 for double-wide homes.
(Washington County Draft Resource Document, August 1981)
In recent years mobile home subdivision have also `become popular. These
' subdivisions allow for ownership of a lot as well as the individual mobile
home.
F Currently, there are three mobile home parks in Tigard and one within the
Tigard Urban Planning Boundary:
s�
-38-
TABLE III-13
EXISTING MOBILE HOME PARKS - TIGARD URBAN PLANNING AREA
Mobile Home Park Spaces Vacant Spaces
Cascade Mobile Villa 37 0
Terrace Heights Mobile Court 55 0
Pacific Mobile Park 18 0
Subtotal 110 0
Royal Mobile Villa* 248 0
358 0
*Outside City limits but within Tigard Urban Planning Area.
The average price for a typical single-wide is averaging between $18-22 per
square foot, with a high construction cost of approximately $28 per square
foot. The average price of a new single-wide home (14' x 70') is
approximately $17,600 to $21,500, and a double wide (24' x 60') approximately
$25,900 - $31,600. fable III-14 indicates the average monthly housing costs
and required income for mobile homes.
TABLE III-14
AVERAGE MONTHLY HOUSING COSTS AND
REQUIRED INCOME FOR MOBILE HOMES*
Monthly Cost Required Required
Excluding Utilities Gross Monthly Gross Annual
Unit & Insurance Income Income
i
Average Single-wide 240-320 $ 960-1,280 $11.,520-15,300
Average Double-wide 400-480 $1,600-1,920 $19,200-23,040
Source: Tigard Planning Department, 1982.
Comparing these figures with Table III-11 we see that more householdscould
afford, the average single-wide mobile home. Since; the average household size
for mobile homes is 2.2 persons/unit, it is clear that mobile homes will
provide affordable housing for small households, but may not provide adequate
relief for large households.
4�
CHAPTER IV
POPULATION TRENDS
The following section identifies specific population trends which are
characteristic of Tigard during particular time periods.
-39-
Population Trends 1961-1970
The population of Tigard more than quadrupled between the time Tigard was
incorporated in 1961 and 1970. (1961: 1,084 and 1970: 5,302)
Since specific population census data was not gathered for the City of Tigard
in 1960, it cannot be exactly determined what age groups significantly
increased during this time period. Most of the Portland metropolitan area
experienced increases in the 0-14 age group due to the "postwar baby boom,"
and it can be assumed that similar trends occurred in the Tigard area.
Population Trends 1970-1980
During this time period, Tigard experienced its greatest growth. Almost
two-thirds of the growth occurred during this decade.
Approximately half (48.3-60.1%) of ligard's residents work outside the
community and in most cases outside Washington County.
During this period, Tigard established itself as a residential community of
the Portland metropolitan area. The attractiveness of the environmental
amenities of the community are frequently cited as factors influencing the
decision to locate in this area.
In addition, Tigard has also established itself as an employment center. In
1980, there were approximately 8,750* jobs within the Tigard area.
By the year 2000 it is estimated that there will he approximately 19,350
employment opportunities or an increase of 10,600 jobs. (See Transportation
Comprehensive Plan Report)
Future Growth Trends
In 1980, Tigard's population was 14,286 (1980 Census. Actual population at
December 31, 1980 was 14,855). The Metropolitan Service District's (MSD)
project for 1980 was 18,642. This figure is based on the traffic zones within
the Tigard Urban Planning Area and does not factor out those areas that were
outside the City limits. The current 1982 population of Tigard is 17,300
which mostly reflects the incorporation of numerous islands. If the entire
Tigard Triangle and the area south of Walnut Street were incorporated, MSD's
projection would be realized.
*This figure was calculated from Metropolitan Service District (MSD) Traffic
Zone Circulation Study and includes those traffic zones that are within the
Tigard Urban Planning Area.
The underlying assumptions made for the purpose of population projections are
threefold. First, no significant rezoning of currently nonresidential land to
residential uses; second, a fixed land supply; and third, no significant
redevelopment activity prior to reaching the saturation point. In reality
none of these assumptions would hold strictly. The City will probably find
that some redevelopment of the core downtown areawilllikely occur. Also to
be considered as a factor of Pffecting population growth is the rate of o�
extending services to undeveloped areas, and the intill process.
-40
f
FIGURE IV-1
AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE
QQ 2.89
�•2.87 2.89
2.59 SELECTED
HOUSEHOLD
2.50 SIZE
•:,•`''••••........ 2.30
2.00
CONTINUATION ••
OF HISTORIC TREND 1.80
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
t
FTc TIRE? ry-2 7
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lu r
It
m% � 20
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y m o
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0 7 a cm. ie000 °WC
V �
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e z od 0� N019N11 m
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cn
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iM
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t` - li•AMti � \
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` FIGURE IV-3
LL
a �
10
a � A1 �
e♦ �
IRS
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1
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in n tor- 00 43
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g « 77
_ ::
E
t
i
' Future Growth Projections
Several sources of information are being utilized to construct a population
projection for the City of Tigard. Using the Portland Statr. Population Center
and MSD's estimates for the year 2000 household size (see Figure IV-2) and the EEEg
overall housing units potential figures, based on the buildable lands
inventory, a holding capacity situation was found to have a potential
potential of approximately 42,000 during the planning period. (Based on land E
uses in accordance with the Metropolitan Housing Rule) Actual growth figures
were then plotted as shown in Figure IV-3, showing the 1980 population figure
of 14,286. The Metropolitan Service District (MSD) anticipated growth trends
for the traffic 7.ones most closely related to the Tigard Urban Planning Areas
were then plotted on the graph. MSD's projections are founded on population
trends which occurred during 1960 to 1980; based on an increase in units
rather than an average percent increased in population.
The ultimate graphical portrayal of Tigard's population will show an "S"
curve. During the planning period (1980-2000), however, Tigard's growth will
remain within the upward trend of the "S" curve. This is based on the fact
that the 2.3 average household size has not been reached (existing household
size is approximately 2.59).
In addition, the City used an alternative constant to project Tigard's
population to the year 2000. Rather than using an average annual increase of
units, the City used an average annual population increase (5.07 percent, with
a 2.3 average household size). The difference between MSD's projection and
Tigard's is as follows:
Metropolitan Service District
(MSD): 31,550
Tigard Planning Department:
33,400
Difference: 1,850
Both of these projections are within MSD's projection of 46,020 for all of
District 12, which also includes the Bull Mountain area. (See Figure IV-3)
CHAPTER V
BUILDABLE LAND INVENTORY
In mid-1981, the City conducted a vacant land survey for land within the Urban
Planning Area and within the Tigard City limits. Since that time the City has
updated that data as development occurs. The City is currently in the process
of establishing a mechanism by which to annually record the status of vacant
land that is available for development within the Tigard Urban Planning Area.
According to the ,data that was available in January 1982, the available vacant
»ndeveloved residential land comprises 20.7 percent of the total area within
the City`s Urban Planning Area.
-41-
y
Table V-1 indicates the vacant buildable land within the existing Tigard Urban
Planning Area. The acreage figures are based on the proposed zoning district
designations within each Neighborhood Planning Organization (NPO).
Population Needs and Land Supply
To determine whether or riot the plan provides for enough land for long-range
growth, it is necessary to make assumptions concerning land requirements for
uses such as streets and parks; persons per household; the development quality
of the vacant land; the potential for redevelopment to more intensive land
uses, and units per acre.
Assumptions
I. Public and Semipublic Land
A 20% allowance was made for streets in single family areas and 15%
for multiple family areas which will consume some of the vacant
residential land inventory and thereby will not be available for
housing. The allowance was calculated by reducing total vacant
residential land by 20% or 15% accordingly.
2. Persons per Household and Undoubling
In 1980, approximately 6112 households existed in Tigard. In 1980,
�. the region's average household size was 2.59 persons. MSD in the
Regional UGB Findings assumes the average household size to stabilize
by the year 2000 at 2.30 persons per unit. This analysis assumes the
same decrease will occur in Tigard or a reduction in average household
size of 2.59 in 1980 to 2.3 in the year 2000.
This expected drop in the overall household size has the effect of
reducing the capacity of the existing housing stock, there'.y creating
a demand for more units without a population increase. This
"undoubling" means that 770 additional housing units, beyond what
would be needed if household size remained the same which would total
approximately 7380 units, will likely need to be constructed to meet
the demand for housing caused by the drop in average household size.
(6112 households in 1980 x .30 person/household = 1772.48 persons
needing additional new units divided by 2.3 persons/unit = 770 units. )
3. Development Quality
Clearly not all vacant land is equally suitable for urban
development. In accordance with the Goal 410 Metropolitan Housing
Rule, land constrained by natural hazards are omitted from the vacant
buildable land survey. This includes land over 25% in slope and land
in the floodplains area. The Comprehensive Plan clearly identifies
those areas that are subject to natural hazard on various
Comprehensive Plan maps. These areas are restricted from development
( and are totally excluded from the buildable land inventory. Note
however that there is some capacity (up to 25%) that could be counted
as a result of the density transfer provisions in the Plan. This
feature is further explained in the Housing Implementation Strategy #3
under Policy 6.4.1.
-42-
4. Redevelopment Potential
Some of the area designated as Commercial-Professional or Central
Business District is currently being used for lower intensity uses.
It is fair to assume that a significant amount of this land will
convert to the use designated on the plan between 1982 and 2000.
Within these areas, it has beer_ determined by MSD employment
projections that approximately 6000 plus additional jobs will be
created by the year 2000. The following assumptions were made to
introduce more intensive residential uses into these commercial areas.
a. Residential uses within the commercial area would increase crime
prevention by keeping people in the area 24 hours a day;
b. Residential uses would strengthen the commercial areas by placing
people close to shopping and employment areas; and
C. Residential uses with these commercial areas would decrease
airshed problems by eliminating the need for a portion of the
vehicle trips within the area.
To develop a realistic estimate of the potential multifamily uses
which will redevelop in these areas by the year 2000, the following
procedure was followed:
a. Identify all land within the Commercial-Professional and Central
Business District plan designations that are currently developed
at a lesser use, e.g. single family;
b. Assume that land values will eliminate the existing single family
uses within the areas and determine the amount of vacant land
within the areas.
c. Subtract out residential uses from the first two floors in
Commercial-Professional redeveloping areas and the first floor in
the Central Business District redeveloping areas;
d. The amount of land assumed to have redevelopment potential is
approximately 59.2:
7.2 acres - Central Business District
52.0 acres - Commercial-Professional
�. For these areas, it was further assumed that the pressure for an economic
«` < capability to redevelop was influenced by the density allowed within these
ureas, e.g._ the more density allowed, the more likely redevelopment would
occur. The plan designation for these areas are as follows:
Central Business District 12 units/acre
^ (Y ' Commercial-Professional - 20 units/acre
1[a chart on the following page illustrates t. amount of acres for
residential uses by zone.
P
43